2022 Tour Championship odds, field: Surprising FedEx Cup Playoffs picks from model that’s nailed 8 majors
Golf’s major season begins each year in Augusta, Ga., and the Peach State is also where the PGA Tour season will come to an end. East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta will host the 2022 Tour Championship, which begins on Thursday and will crown the FedEx Cup champion. The top 30 in FedEx Cup points have assembled in Atlanta for the no-cut event, and staggered scoring ensures that whoever wins the Tour Championship 2022 will also win the FedEx Cup.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler currently tops the FedEx Cup standings and is also the 12-5 favorite in the latest 2022 Tour Championship odds per Caesars Sportsbook. Defending FedEx Cup champion, Patrick Cantlay, is at 4-1 to repeat, while other favorites include Xander Schauffele (15-2), Rory McIlroy (9-1) and Will Zalatoris (10-1). Before locking in your 2022 Tour Championship picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure’s model included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scottie Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.
In addition, McClure’s best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 longshot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2022 Tour Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2022 Tour Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Tour Championship 2022: McIlroy, a 21-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top-five. With a win at the 2022 Tour Championship, McIlroy will become the first golfer to ever win the FedEx Cup three times.
The 33-year-old continues to crush the ball off the tee, averaging 320.4 yards per drive this season, which ranks second on tour. McIlroy’s length off the tee also has him ranked inside the top-five in birdie average (4.45), scoring average (68.728) and strokes gained: off-the-tee (.788).
However, McIlroy is hitting just 57.87% of fairways off the tee this season, which ranks 133rd on tour. In addition, McIlroy has had trouble putting all season, ranking 78th in total putting (191.9), 86th in one-putt percentage (39.78%) and 147th in 3-putt avoidance (3.17%). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Tour Championship 2022 field.
Another surprise: Sungjae Im, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Im has a pair of runners-up over his last four starts, and all four tournaments saw him finish in the top 15. For the year, Im has eight top-10s which is bested by just six other golfers.
Im has no true holes in his game as he ranks among the top nine on tour in the strokes gained categories of: off-the-tee (.659), around-the-green (.428) and total (1.655). He and Matthew Fitzpatrick are the only golfers who can make the claim of ranking that well in all of those metrics. Even when Im does hit a wayward shot when going for the green, he usually recovers as he’s fourth on tour in scrambling percentage (66.29 percent). Im will start the 2022 Tour Championship at 4-under-par, but has the game and poise needed to overtake those ahead of him on the leaderboard. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2022 Tour Championship picks
The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 18-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
So who will win the Tour Championship 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 Tour Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Tour Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.
2022 Tour Championship odds, field
Scottie Scheffler +240
Patrick Cantlay +360
Xander Schauffele +650
Rory McIlroy +900
Will Zalatoris +900
Jon Rahm +1400
Tony Finau +1800
Cameron Smith +2000
Sam Burns +2000
Sungjae Im +2500
Justin Thomas +2500
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300
Cameron Young +3300
Joaquin Niemann +5000
Collin Morikawa +5000
Viktor Hovland +6500
Jordan Spieth +6600
Corey Conners +8000
Hideki Matsuyama +9000
Scott Stallings +10000
Max Homa +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Adam Scott +12500
Aaron Wise +15000
Billy Horschel +17500
Sahith Theegala +20000
Brian Harman +20000
Tom Hoge +25000
K.H. Lee +25000
J.T. Poston +25000